Aggregating For Expectations: 2015

2015-03-02

Based on the running total from the beginning of this year I can see this strategy does not work. Therefore I will stop publishing this concept.

At run time 3/2/15 3:02 PM the paper account value is $99001.06 with a starting investment of $100000.
Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2015-02-03	SELL - Today
erx	BUY - 2015-02-25	SELL - 2015-02-27
fas	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - 2015-02-27
midu	SELL - 2015-02-26	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - 2015-02-27
tna	SELL - 2015-02-26	BUY - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-24	BUY - 2015-02-27
ugld	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - 2015-02-26
urty	SELL - 2015-02-26	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 5 Bears: 5
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Technology as represented by TECL

2015-02-27

Energy, Financials, & Tech. Models Sell, Nat Gas Buys.

At run time 2/27/15 3:17 PM the paper account value is $99119.63 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-25	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - 2015-02-26
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - 2015-02-26
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-24	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - 2015-02-26
urty	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - 2015-02-26

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 3 Bears: 7
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
SP 500 as represented by SPXL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-26

A Bunch Of Models Become Nervous Nellies.

At run time 2/26/15 3:13 PM the paper account value is $99367.57 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	SELL - 2015-02-23	BUY - 2015-02-25
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-20	SELL - 2015-02-24
ugld	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - Today
urty	BUY - 2015-02-24	SELL - Today

Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Mid Caps(MIDU) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 4 Bears: 6
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-25

Energy Model Back With The Bulls.

After hour posting - I try to run this around an hour before closing but today I was just too busy.

At run time 2/25/15 5:00 PM the paper account value is $100200.63 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	SELL - 2015-02-23	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - 2015-02-24
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - 2015-02-24
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-20	SELL - 2015-02-24
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - 2015-02-24

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying. And the closing price will be used.
Score - Bulls: 9 Bears: 1
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ

2015-02-24

Small Caps/Mid Caps Models Are Buyers. Not Nat. Gas.

At run time 2/24/15 3:05 PM the paper account value is $99962.48 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-19	SELL - 2015-02-23
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-20	SELL - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	SELL - 2015-02-20	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX

2015-02-23

Energy Model Sells.

At run time 2/23/15 3:15 PM the paper account value is $99526.26 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-19	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	BUY - 2015-02-09	SELL - 2015-02-20
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-02-17	SELL - 2015-02-20
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-17	BUY - 2015-02-20
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	BUY - 2015-02-17	SELL - 2015-02-20

Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 6 Bears: 4
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-20

A Little Bit of Bearish-ness In The Models.

At run time the paper account value is $100804.05 with a starting investment of $100000.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	SELL - 2015-02-17	BUY - 2015-02-19
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	BUY - 2015-02-09	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-02-17	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-17	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	BUY - 2015-02-17	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-19

Nat Gas and Energy Models Get Bulllish, Is It Because Of The Eastern US Freeze

All models are now bullish.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	SELL - 2015-02-17	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-05	BUY - 2015-02-09
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - 2015-02-17
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-17	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - 2015-02-17

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 10 Bears: 0
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

2015-02-18

MidCaps' Model Joins Bears

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - 2015-02-17
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	BUY - 2015-02-09	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - 2015-02-17
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - 2015-02-17
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - 2015-02-17

Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-02-17

Energy Models Give Up, While Small Caps Say Buy.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-05	BUY - 2015-02-09
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-12	SELL - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	SELL - 2015-02-12	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX

2015-02-13

BioTech Model Is Bearish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2015-02-03	SELL - Today
erx	SELL - 2015-02-10	BUY - 2015-02-12
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-05	BUY - 2015-02-09
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - 2015-02-12
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-09	BUY - 2015-02-12
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-12
urty	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - 2015-02-12

Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-12

Nat Gas, Gold, Energy Bullish, Small Caps and R2K Bearish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	SELL - 2015-02-10	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - 2015-02-10
midu	SELL - 2015-02-05	BUY - 2015-02-09
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-09	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - Today
urty	BUY - 2015-02-10	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Gold(UGLD) Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-10

Finance, Small Caps and R2K Models Bullish, Not So Energy.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-06	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - Today
midu	SELL - 2015-02-05	BUY - 2015-02-09
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-02-05	SELL - 2015-02-09
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	SELL - 2015-02-06	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX

2015-02-06

With Today's Market Sell-off Some Models Sell-off

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2015-02-03	SELL - Today
erx	SELL - 2015-02-04	BUY - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2015-02-03	SELL - 2015-02-05
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-02-04	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-02	BUY - 2015-02-05
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 4 Bears: 6
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-02-05

Model For MidCaps Bearish, Natural Gas' Bullish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-02	SELL - 2015-02-04
fas	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
midu	BUY - 2015-02-03	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-02	BUY - 2015-02-04
ugaz	SELL - 2015-02-02	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-02-04

Energy Model Back With Bears, Small Caps Model With Bulls

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
erx	BUY - 2015-02-02	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
midu	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - 2015-02-03
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-02-02	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - 2015-02-02
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29

Buy Today: Small Caps(TNA)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX

2015-02-03

Biotech and MidCap Models Join Bulls

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - Today
erx	SELL - 2015-01-29	BUY - 2015-02-02
fas	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
midu	SELL - 2015-01-30	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - 2015-02-02
ugaz	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - 2015-02-02
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Small Caps as represented by TNA

2015-02-02

A Bunch Of Models Sell.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - 2015-01-30
erx	SELL - 2015-01-29	BUY - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2015-01-27	SELL - 2015-01-30
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - 2015-01-30
urty	BUY - 2015-01-29	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 2 Bears: 8
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
SP 500 as represented by SPXL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-30

Gold (up in markets) and MidCaps Models Get Bearish.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-27	SELL - 2015-01-29
fas	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
midu	BUY - 2015-01-27	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
ugaz	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29
ugld	BUY - 2015-01-26	SELL - Today
urty	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - 2015-01-29

Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-01-29

Models Generate Mixed Signals For A Mixed Day.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-27	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - Today
midu	BUY - 2015-01-27	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-02	BUY - 2015-01-26
urty	SELL - 2015-01-27	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-01-27

No Surprise With The Models Selling ....

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	SELL - 2015-01-23	BUY - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-20	SELL - Today
midu	SELL - 2015-01-23	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-01-20	SELL - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2015-01-23	SELL - Today
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-02	BUY - 2015-01-26
urty	BUY - 2015-01-20	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 6 Bears: 4
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-26

Gold Model Finally Moves ... to the Bulls

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-21	SELL - 2015-01-23
fas	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
midu	BUY - 2015-01-20	SELL - 2015-01-23
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
ugaz	SELL - 2015-01-21	BUY - 2015-01-23
ugld	SELL - 2015-01-02	BUY - Today
urty	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-01-23

MidCaps A Bear, Nat. Gas A Bull

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-21	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
midu	BUY - 2015-01-20	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
ugaz	SELL - 2015-01-21	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-01-21

Energy Model Joins Bulls While Nat. Gas Joins Bears

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	SELL - 2015-01-16	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
midu	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - 2015-01-20
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20
ugaz	BUY - 2015-01-16	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

2015-01-20

4 Models Move to Bull Camp

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - 2015-01-16
fas	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today
midu	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-12-31	BUY - 2015-01-16
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX

2015-01-16

A FlipFlop In Energies

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	BUY - 2015-01-14	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - 2015-01-15
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
ugaz	SELL - 2014-12-31	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 4 Bears: 6
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-15

SP500 Model Back In Bull Camp.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
erx	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
fas	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-09	BUY - Today
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - 2015-01-14
tna	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 4 Bears: 6
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-14

3 Models Get Bully

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today
erx	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	BUY - 2015-01-07	SELL - 2015-01-09
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-12	BUY - Today
tna	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 3 Bears: 7
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-12

All 10 Models In The Bear Camp.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today
erx	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	BUY - 2015-01-07	SELL - 2015-01-09
tecl	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2015-01-08	SELL - Today

Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 0 Bears: 10
---- T H E B U L L S ----

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-09

SP500 Model Bearish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - 2015-01-08
erx	SELL - 2014-12-31	BUY - 2015-01-08
fas	SELL - 2015-01-06	BUY - 2015-01-08
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	BUY - 2015-01-07	SELL - Today
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-02	BUY - 2015-01-08
tna	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - 2015-01-08
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2015-01-06	BUY - 2015-01-08

Sell Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 6 Bears: 4
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL

2015-01-08

After 2 Days of Gains In The Markets The Models Finally Get Involved

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - Today
erx	SELL - 2014-12-31	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2015-01-06	BUY - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - 2015-01-07
tecl	SELL - 2015-01-02	BUY - Today
tna	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2015-01-06	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU

2015-01-07

SP500 Model Bullish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-05
erx	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2014-12-31
fas	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-06
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	SELL - 2015-01-05	BUY - Today
tecl	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-02
tna	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-05
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-06

Buy Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 1 Bears: 9
---- T H E B U L L S ----

SP 500 as represented by SPXL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2015-01-06

No Bullish Models

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-05
erx	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2014-12-31
fas	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	BUY - 2014-12-16	SELL - 2015-01-05
tecl	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-02
tna	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-05
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - Today

Sell Today: Finance(FAS) & Russell 2000(URTY)

Selling won't be done since none have been purchased since the model rebuild.

Score - Bulls: 0 Bears: 10
---- T H E B U L L S ----

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

80% Bearish

Model Run

Due to a hdd crash all models were rebuilt this morning. No changes on the buy side... no surprise there.

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-05
erx	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2014-12-31
fas	SELL - 2014-12-19	BUY - 2014-12-23
midu	BUY - 2014-12-18	SELL - 2015-01-05
spxl	BUY - 2014-12-16	SELL - 2015-01-05
tecl	BUY - 2014-12-17	SELL - 2015-01-02
tna	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-05
ugaz	BUY - 2014-12-24	SELL - 2014-12-31
ugld	BUY - 2014-12-23	SELL - 2015-01-02
urty	SELL - 2014-12-19	BUY - 2014-12-23

no changes Today

2015-01-02

1st Run of 2015 - more bears than bulls.

Some these signals showed up in this morning's model run.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
BIB	SELL - 2014-12-23^**	BUY - 2014-12-26^**
ERX	BUY - 2014-12-30^**	SELL - Today
FAS	BUY - 2014-12-17^**	SELL - Today
MIDU	BUY - 2014-12-30^**	SELL - Today
RETL	BUY - 2014-12-18^**	SELL - 2014-12-31^**
SPXL	SELL - 2014-12-29^**	BUY - 2014-12-31^**
TECL	BUY - 2014-12-24^**	SELL - Today
TNA	SELL - 2014-12-22^**	BUY - 2014-12-24^**
UGAZ	BUY - 2014-12-26^**	SELL - 2014-12-31^**
UGLD	BUY - 2014-12-24^**	SELL - 2014-12-30^**
URTY	SELL - 2014-12-22^**	BUY - 2014-12-24^**

Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Technology(TECL)

Selling won't take place since the model was built yesterday; therefore no purchases were made
to match the sell side.

Score - Bulls: 4 Bears: 7
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Retail as represented by RETL
Technology as represented by TECL
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

Models Rebuilt

I rebuilt the models this morning. Below are the results the run.

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
BIB	SELL - 2014-12-23^**	BUY - 2014-12-26^**
ERX	BUY - 2014-12-30^**	SELL - Today
FAS	SELL - 2014-12-15^**	BUY - 2014-12-17^**
MIDU	BUY - 2014-12-30^**	SELL - Today
RETL	BUY - 2014-12-18^**	SELL - 2014-12-31^**
SPXL	SELL - 2014-12-29^**	BUY - 2014-12-31^**
TECL	BUY - 2014-12-24^**	SELL - Today
TNA	SELL - 2014-12-22^**	BUY - 2014-12-24^**
UGAZ	BUY - 2014-12-26^**	SELL - 2014-12-31^**
UGLD	BUY - 2014-12-24^**	SELL - 2014-12-30^**
URTY	SELL - 2014-12-22^**	BUY - 2014-12-24^**

Score - Bulls: 5 Bears: 6
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Finance as represented by FAS
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Retail as represented by RETL
Technology as represented by TECL
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

The Process

This model creates a short to medium term indicator - generally one to four weeks.

We select several leveraged ETFs that best represent the overall market or industry they represent.

For each ETF the process finds the best 50 or so stocks that correlate to the ETF's price movement. Then it finds the average Momentum indicator value for all 50 over 3, 4 and 5 day periods. We accumulate all possible cross-over values or buy/sell points.

Finally a series of back-tests are run that determine the best choice of each period and buy/sell points that occur over the past year.

These best choices are then used daily to calculate current buy/sell points for each ETF using data from the past 6 months.

What

2015-03-02

2015-02-27

2015-02-26

2015-02-25

2015-02-24

2015-02-23

2015-02-20

2015-02-19

2015-02-18

2015-02-17

2015-02-13

2015-02-12

2015-02-10

2015-02-06

2015-02-05

2015-02-04

2015-02-03

2015-02-02

2015-01-30

2015-01-29

2015-01-27

2015-01-26

2015-01-23

2015-01-21

2015-01-20

2015-01-16

2015-01-15

2015-01-14

2015-01-12

2015-01-09

2015-01-08

2015-01-07

2015-01-06

2015-01-02

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