What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2015-01-30

Gold (up in markets) and MidCaps Models Get Bearish.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-27SELL - 2015-01-29
fasSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - 2015-01-29
miduBUY - 2015-01-27SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - 2015-01-29
ugazSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - 2015-01-29
ugldBUY - 2015-01-26SELL - Today
urtySELL - 2015-01-27BUY - 2015-01-29

Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU




2015-01-29

Models Generate Mixed Signals For A Mixed Day.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-27SELL - Today
fasSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - Today
miduBUY - 2015-01-27SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2015-01-27BUY - Today
ugldSELL - 2015-01-02BUY - 2015-01-26
urtySELL - 2015-01-27BUY - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU




2015-01-27

No Surprise With The Models Selling ....

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxSELL - 2015-01-23BUY - Today
fasBUY - 2015-01-20SELL - Today
miduSELL - 2015-01-23BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaBUY - 2015-01-20SELL - Today
ugazBUY - 2015-01-23SELL - Today
ugldSELL - 2015-01-02BUY - 2015-01-26
urtyBUY - 2015-01-20SELL - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-01-26

Gold Model Finally Moves ... to the Bulls

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-21SELL - 2015-01-23
fasSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
miduBUY - 2015-01-20SELL - 2015-01-23
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
ugazSELL - 2015-01-21BUY - 2015-01-23
ugldSELL - 2015-01-02BUY - Today
urtySELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU




2015-01-23

MidCaps A Bear, Nat. Gas A Bull

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-21SELL - Today
fasSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
miduBUY - 2015-01-20SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
ugazSELL - 2015-01-21BUY - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtySELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU




2015-01-21

Energy Model Joins Bulls While Nat. Gas Joins Bears

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxSELL - 2015-01-16BUY - Today
fasSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
miduSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - 2015-01-20
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20
ugazBUY - 2015-01-16SELL - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtySELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-20

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD




2015-01-20

4 Models Move to Bull Camp

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-14SELL - 2015-01-16
fasSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today
miduSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-12-31BUY - 2015-01-16
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtySELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today

Buy Today: Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX




2015-01-16

A FlipFlop In Energies

Model Run
 
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxBUY - 2015-01-14SELL - Today
fasBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - 2015-01-15
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
ugazSELL - 2014-12-31BUY - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtyBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 4   Bears: 6
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-01-15

SP500 Model Back In Bull Camp.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
erxSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
fasBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
spxlSELL - 2015-01-09BUY - Today
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - 2015-01-14
tnaBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtyBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 4   Bears: 6
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-01-14

3 Models Get Bully

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today
erxSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today
fasBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
spxlBUY - 2015-01-07SELL - 2015-01-09
teclSELL - 2015-01-12BUY - Today
tnaBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12
ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtyBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - 2015-01-12

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 3   Bears: 7
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2015-01-12

All 10 Models In The Bear Camp.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today
erxBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today
fasBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
spxlBUY - 2015-01-07SELL - 2015-01-09
teclBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today
tnaBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today
ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
urtyBUY - 2015-01-08SELL - Today

Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 0   Bears: 10
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




    2015-01-09

    SP500 Model Bearish

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - 2015-01-08
    erxSELL - 2014-12-31BUY - 2015-01-08
    fasSELL - 2015-01-06BUY - 2015-01-08
    miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
    spxlBUY - 2015-01-07SELL - Today
    teclSELL - 2015-01-02BUY - 2015-01-08
    tnaSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - 2015-01-08
    ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
    ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
    urtySELL - 2015-01-06BUY - 2015-01-08

    Sell Today: SP 500(SPXL)
    So in the paper account I will be selling.
    Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




    2015-01-08

    After 2 Days of Gains In The Markets The Models Finally Get Involved

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - Today
    erxSELL - 2014-12-31BUY - Today
    fasSELL - 2015-01-06BUY - Today
    miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
    spxlSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - 2015-01-07
    teclSELL - 2015-01-02BUY - Today
    tnaSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - Today
    ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
    ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
    urtySELL - 2015-01-06BUY - Today

    Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
    So in the paper account I will be buying.
    Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU




    2015-01-07

    SP500 Model Bullish

    Model Run

    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-05
    erxBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2014-12-31
    fasBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-06
    miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
    spxlSELL - 2015-01-05BUY - Today
    teclBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-02
    tnaBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-05
    ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
    ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
    urtyBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-06

    Buy Today: SP 500(SPXL)
    So in the paper account I will be buying.
    Score - Bulls: 1   Bears: 9
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




    2015-01-06

    No Bullish Models

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-05
    erxBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2014-12-31
    fasBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - Today
    miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
    spxlBUY - 2014-12-16SELL - 2015-01-05
    teclBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-02
    tnaBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-05
    ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
    ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
    urtyBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - Today

    Sell Today: Finance(FAS) & Russell 2000(URTY)

    Selling won't be done since none have been purchased since the model rebuild.

    Score - Bulls: 0   Bears: 10
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
      • Gold as represented by UGLD
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




      80% Bearish

      Model Run

      Due to a hdd crash all models were rebuilt this morning.  No changes on the buy side... no surprise there.


      SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
      bibBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-05
      erxBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2014-12-31
      fasSELL - 2014-12-19BUY - 2014-12-23
      miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2015-01-05
      spxlBUY - 2014-12-16SELL - 2015-01-05
      teclBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2015-01-02
      tnaBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-05
      ugazBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - 2014-12-31
      ugldBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2015-01-02
      urtySELL - 2014-12-19BUY - 2014-12-23

      no changes Today

      2015-01-02

      1st Run of 2015 - more bears than bulls.

      Some these signals showed up in this morning's model run.

      Model Run












      SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
      BIBSELL - 2014-12-23**BUY - 2014-12-26**
      ERXBUY - 2014-12-30**SELL - Today
      FASBUY - 2014-12-17**SELL - Today
      MIDUBUY - 2014-12-30**SELL - Today
      RETLBUY - 2014-12-18**SELL - 2014-12-31**
      SPXLSELL - 2014-12-29**BUY - 2014-12-31**
      TECLBUY - 2014-12-24**SELL - Today
      TNASELL - 2014-12-22**BUY - 2014-12-24**
      UGAZBUY - 2014-12-26**SELL - 2014-12-31**
      UGLDBUY - 2014-12-24**SELL - 2014-12-30**
      URTYSELL - 2014-12-22**BUY - 2014-12-24**

      Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Technology(TECL)

      Selling won't take place since the model was built yesterday; therefore no purchases were made
      to match the sell side.


      Score - Bulls: 4   Bears: 7
      ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • Retail as represented by RETL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
      • Gold as represented by UGLD




      Models Rebuilt



      I rebuilt the models this morning. Below are the results the run.

      SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
      BIBSELL - 2014-12-23**BUY - 2014-12-26**
      ERXBUY - 2014-12-30**SELL - Today
      FASSELL - 2014-12-15**BUY - 2014-12-17**
      MIDUBUY - 2014-12-30**SELL - Today
      RETLBUY - 2014-12-18**SELL - 2014-12-31**
      SPXLSELL - 2014-12-29**BUY - 2014-12-31**
      TECLBUY - 2014-12-24**SELL - Today
      TNASELL - 2014-12-22**BUY - 2014-12-24**
      UGAZBUY - 2014-12-26**SELL - 2014-12-31**
      UGLDBUY - 2014-12-24**SELL - 2014-12-30**
      URTYSELL - 2014-12-22**BUY - 2014-12-24**
      Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 6
      ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • Retail as represented by RETL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
      • Gold as represented by UGLD