What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2014-08-29

4 Models Reenter Bull Camp.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
erxSELL - 2014-08-27BUY - Today
fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
tnaSELL - 2014-08-27BUY - Today
ugazBUY - 2014-08-11SELL - 2014-08-28
ugldSELL - 2014-08-27BUY - Today
urtySELL - 2014-08-27BUY - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Gold(UGLD) Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.

Note: the SP 500 model based on SPXL has been in the bull side since mid June.  It's up 9.5% since then.

Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ


2014-08-28

Nat. Gas Model Is Bearish

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
erxBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - 2014-08-27
fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
tnaBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - 2014-08-27
ugazBUY - 2014-08-11SELL - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-08-25SELL - 2014-08-27
urtyBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - 2014-08-27

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY


2014-08-27

Models for Gold, Energy, Small Caps and R2K Move to Bear Camp.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
erxBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - Today
fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
tnaBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
ugldBUY - 2014-08-25SELL - Today
urtyBUY - 2014-08-15SELL - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY


2014-08-25

Gold Model Back In Bull Camp.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
erxSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15
fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
tnaSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15
ugazSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
ugldSELL - 2014-08-21BUY - Today
urtySELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 10   Bears: 0
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----


    2014-08-21

    Gold Model Is A Bear

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
    erxSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15
    fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
    miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
    spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
    teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
    tnaSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15
    ugazSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
    ugldBUY - 2014-08-14SELL - Today
    urtySELL - 2014-08-13BUY - 2014-08-15

    ** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
    Sell Today: Gold(UGLD)
    So in the paper account I will be selling.
    Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Gold as represented by UGLD


    2014-08-15

    Energy, Small Caps and R2K in Bull Camp.

    I can understand the energy model getting bullish with the Ukraine situation.  Small Caps and R2K just doesn't make much sense.

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
    erxSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - Today
    fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
    miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
    spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
    teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
    tnaSELL - 2014-08-13BUY - Today
    ugazSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
    ugldSELL - 2014-08-12BUY - 2014-08-14
    urtySELL - 2014-08-13BUY - Today

    ** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
    Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY).
    So in the paper account I will be buying.
    Score - Bulls: 10   Bears: 0
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----


      2014-08-14

      Gold Model Back In Bull Camp

      Model Run
      SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
      bibSELL - 2014-08-05BUY - 2014-08-07
      erxBUY - 2014-08-08SELL - 2014-08-13
      fasSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
      miduSELL - 2014-07-17BUY - 2014-07-21
      spxlSELL - 2014-06-13**BUY - 2014-06-17**
      teclSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
      tnaBUY - 2014-08-08SELL - 2014-08-13
      ugazSELL - 2014-08-07BUY - 2014-08-11
      ugldSELL - 2014-08-12BUY - Today
      urtyBUY - 2014-08-08SELL - 2014-08-13

      ** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
      Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
      So in the paper account I will be buying.
      Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
      ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
      • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
      • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
      • Gold as represented by UGLD
      • Finance as represented by FAS
      • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
      • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
      • Technology as represented by TECL
      ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
      • Energy as represented by ERX
      • Small Caps as represented by TNA
      • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY