What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2014-10-01

Energy and Mid Cap Models Get Bearish ... maybe a little too late.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - 2014-09-30**
erxBUY - 2014-09-29**SELL - Today
fasSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
miduBUY - 2014-09-29**SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - 2014-09-30**
teclSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
tnaSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - 2014-09-30**
ugazSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
ugldBUY - 2014-02-12**SELL - 2014-03-24**
urtySELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - 2014-09-30**
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Mid Caps(MIDU)

Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU


2014-09-30

Models Rebuilt

The 10 models have been rebuilt using a period count of 10.

Since the models are rebuilt no activity will take place in the paper account.

One thing for sure these new models are bullish.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - Today**
erxSELL - 2014-09-25**BUY - 2014-09-29**
fasSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
miduSELL - 2014-09-25**BUY - 2014-09-29**
spxlSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - Today**
teclSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
tnaSELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - Today**
ugazSELL - 2014-07-17**BUY - 2014-07-21**
ugldBUY - 2014-02-12**SELL - 2014-03-24**
urtySELL - 2014-09-26**BUY - Today**
 Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD


Gold is out, Biotech is in

Model Run


SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2014-09-11SELL - Today
erxSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
fasSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
miduSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
spxlSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
teclBUY - 2014-09-17SELL - 2014-09-29
tnaSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
ugazBUY - 2014-09-25SELL - 2014-09-29
ugldSELL - 2014-09-26BUY - Today
urtySELL - 2014-09-25BUY - 2014-09-29
Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Technology as represented by TECL


2014-09-29

A Mixed Bag Of Buy and Sell Models

Model Run


SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-09BUY - 2014-09-11
erxSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
fasSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
miduSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
teclBUY - 2014-09-17SELL - Today
tnaSELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
ugazBUY - 2014-09-25SELL - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-09-24SELL - 2014-09-26
urtySELL - 2014-09-25BUY - Today
Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Technology as represented by TECL


2014-09-25

5 Models Bale to The Bears, Just Like The Rest of the Market

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-09BUY - 2014-09-11
erxBUY - 2014-09-23SELL - Today
fasBUY - 2014-09-17SELL - Today
miduBUY - 2014-09-17SELL - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
teclSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
tnaBUY - 2014-09-23SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-09-23BUY - Today
ugldSELL - 2014-09-22BUY - 2014-09-24
urtyBUY - 2014-09-23SELL - Today
Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY


2014-09-24

Gold Model Bullish?

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-09BUY - 2014-09-11
erxSELL - 2014-09-19BUY - 2014-09-23
fasSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
miduSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
spxlSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
teclSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
tnaSELL - 2014-09-19BUY - 2014-09-23
ugazBUY - 2014-09-18SELL - 2014-09-23
ugldSELL - 2014-09-22BUY - Today
urtySELL - 2014-09-19BUY - 2014-09-23
Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ


2014-09-23

Today's model run has Energy, R2K and Small Caps as bullish while  Nat. Gas is with the bears.

I was traveling yesterday and didn't get to post the model run.  Based on today's run and using yesterday's date gold is now bearish.  I will sell UGLD in the paper account even though that won't be consistent with the model.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-09-09BUY - 2014-09-11
erxSELL - 2014-09-19BUY - Today
fasSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
miduSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
spxlSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
teclSELL - 2014-09-15BUY - 2014-09-17
tnaSELL - 2014-09-19BUY - Today
ugazBUY - 2014-09-18SELL - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-09-18SELL - 2014-09-22
urtySELL - 2014-09-19BUY - Today
Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD