Aggregating For Expectations: September 2014

2014-09-30

Models Rebuilt

The 10 models have been rebuilt using a period count of 10.

Since the models are rebuilt no activity will take place in the paper account.

One thing for sure these new models are bullish.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-26^**	BUY - Today**
erx	SELL - 2014-09-25^**	BUY - 2014-09-29^**
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17^**	BUY - 2014-07-21^**
midu	SELL - 2014-09-25^**	BUY - 2014-09-29^**
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-26^**	BUY - Today**
tecl	SELL - 2014-07-17^**	BUY - 2014-07-21^**
tna	SELL - 2014-09-26^**	BUY - Today**
ugaz	SELL - 2014-07-17^**	BUY - 2014-07-21^**
ugld	BUY - 2014-02-12^**	SELL - 2014-03-24^**
urty	SELL - 2014-09-26^**	BUY - Today**

Score - Bulls: 9 Bears: 1
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD

Gold is out, Biotech is in

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
erx	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29
fas	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29
midu	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29
tecl	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - 2014-09-29
tna	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-25	SELL - 2014-09-29
ugld	SELL - 2014-09-26	BUY - Today
urty	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - 2014-09-29

Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Technology as represented by TECL

2014-09-29

A Mixed Bag Of Buy and Sell Models

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today
midu	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today
tecl	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today
tna	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-25	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-09-24	SELL - 2014-09-26
urty	SELL - 2014-09-25	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ) Technology(TECL)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Technology as represented by TECL

2014-09-25

5 Models Bale to The Bears, Just Like The Rest of the Market

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	BUY - 2014-09-23	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tna	BUY - 2014-09-23	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-23	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2014-09-22	BUY - 2014-09-24
urty	BUY - 2014-09-23	SELL - Today

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 5 Bears: 5
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-24

Gold Model Bullish?

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - 2014-09-23
fas	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
midu	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tna	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - 2014-09-23
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-18	SELL - 2014-09-23
ugld	SELL - 2014-09-22	BUY - Today
urty	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - 2014-09-23

Buy Today: Gold(UGLD)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9 Bears: 1
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ

2014-09-23

Today's model run has Energy, R2K and Small Caps as bullish while Nat. Gas is with the bears.

I was traveling yesterday and didn't get to post the model run. Based on today's run and using yesterday's date gold is now bearish. I will sell UGLD in the paper account even though that won't be consistent with the model.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
midu	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tna	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-18	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-09-18	SELL - 2014-09-22
urty	SELL - 2014-09-19	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-19

Energy, Small Caps and R2K Models Get Bearish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
midu	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tna	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-16	BUY - 2014-09-18
ugld	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - 2014-09-18
urty	BUY - 2014-09-17	SELL - Today

Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7 Bears: 3
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Energy as represented by ERX
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

Nat. Gas and Gold Join Bulls - That Makes 10.

Model Run

Yahoo has updated its historical stock price database. The models have been run. Natural Gas and Gold join the bulls. So this morning UGAZ and UGLD will be purchased in the paper account using yesterday's closing price.

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
fas	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
midu	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
tna	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-16	BUY - 2014-09-18
ugld	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - 2014-09-18
urty	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - 2014-09-17

2014-09-18

Failure to load

With the Yahoo Historical Stock Market data files not up to date the models will not be run today.

2014-09-17

With Rising Markets 7 Models Get Bullish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
midu	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
tecl	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
tna	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-12	SELL - 2014-09-16
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	SELL - 2014-09-15	BUY - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-16

With Nat. Gas With The Bears Bio Tech Is The Lone Bull

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
fas	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
midu	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
spxl	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
tecl	BUY - 2014-08-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
tna	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-12	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - 2014-09-15

Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 1 Bears: 9
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-15

7 Models Quickly Join Gold in The Bear Camp.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
spxl	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
tecl	BUY - 2014-08-11	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-10	BUY - 2014-09-12
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	BUY - 2014-09-11	SELL - Today

Sell Today: Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)

So in the paper account I will be selling. The Technology model based on TECL had a buy last week which I missed so it was already in a sold position prior to today's model run.

Score - Bulls: 2 Bears: 8

---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-12

Nat. Gas Model Rejoins Bulls

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
erx	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
fas	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
midu	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-10	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - 2014-09-11

Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9 Bears: 1
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-11

7 out of 10 Models Jump In Bull Pool

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
erx	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
midu	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
spxl	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-08	SELL - 2014-09-10
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	SELL - 2014-09-09	BUY - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-10

Nat Gas Model Joins Bears, Yesterday's Tech Model Sell Call Was Premature

Yesterday the model (run around 3:30 EDT) called for a sell on TECL (Technology). Apparently the numbers changed in the last half hour causing the model (when run today at 3:55) to show it still in the BULL camp. It will remain sold in the paper account.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-08-07	SELL - 2014-09-09
erx	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - 2014-09-09
fas	BUY - 2014-07-21	SELL - 2014-09-09
midu	BUY - 2014-07-21	SELL - 2014-09-09
spxl	BUY - 2014-06-17^**	SELL - 2014-09-09
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - 2014-09-09
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-08	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - 2014-09-09

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 1 Bears: 9
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-09

8 out of 10 Models Go Bearish, Leaving One Bull

Even the long standing SPXL model finally joins the bears.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	BUY - 2014-08-07	SELL - Today
erx	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - Today
fas	BUY - 2014-07-21	SELL - Today
midu	BUY - 2014-07-21	SELL - Today
spxl	BUY - 2014-06-17^**	SELL - Today
tecl	BUY - 2014-08-11	SELL - Today
tna	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-04	BUY - 2014-09-08
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	BUY - 2014-09-05	SELL - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01

Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Energy(ERX) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 1 Bears: 9
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-08

Nat Gas Quickly Back in Bull Camp.

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-08-05	BUY - 2014-08-07
erx	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - 2014-09-05
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
midu	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
spxl	SELL - 2014-06-13^**	BUY - 2014-06-17^**
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - 2014-09-05
ugaz	SELL - 2014-09-04	BUY - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - 2014-09-05

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9 Bears: 1
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-05

3 Models Back With The Bulls

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-08-05	BUY - 2014-08-07
erx	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
midu	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
spxl	SELL - 2014-06-13^**	BUY - 2014-06-17^**
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - Today
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-02	SELL - 2014-09-04
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	SELL - 2014-09-03	BUY - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8 Bears: 2
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD

2014-09-04

Nat Gas Model Says Sell

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-08-05	BUY - 2014-08-07
erx	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
midu	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
spxl	SELL - 2014-06-13^**	BUY - 2014-06-17^**
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
ugaz	BUY - 2014-09-02	SELL - Today
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03
urty	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - 2014-09-03

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Sell Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 5 Bears: 5
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-03

4 Models Get Bearish With Today's High to Low Move

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-08-05	BUY - 2014-08-07
erx	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - Today
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
midu	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
spxl	SELL - 2014-06-13^**	BUY - 2014-06-17^**
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - Today
ugaz	SELL - 2014-08-28	BUY - 2014-09-02
ugld	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - Today
urty	BUY - 2014-08-29	SELL - Today

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Energy(ERX) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 6 Bears: 4
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL

---- T H E B E A R S ----

Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

2014-09-02

Nat Gas Jumps Back In With The Bulls. All 10 Models Bullish

Model Run

Symbol	Previous Call & Date	Current Call & Date
bib	SELL - 2014-08-05	BUY - 2014-08-07
erx	SELL - 2014-08-27	BUY - 2014-08-29
fas	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
midu	SELL - 2014-07-17	BUY - 2014-07-21
spxl	SELL - 2014-06-13^**	BUY - 2014-06-17^**
tecl	SELL - 2014-08-07	BUY - 2014-08-11
tna	SELL - 2014-08-27	BUY - 2014-08-29
ugaz	SELL - 2014-08-28	BUY - Today
ugld	SELL - 2014-08-27	BUY - 2014-08-29
urty	SELL - 2014-08-27	BUY - 2014-08-29

** - before model build date of 2014-07-01
Buy Today: Natural Gas(UGAZ)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 10 Bears: 0
---- T H E B U L L S ----

Biotechnology as represented by BIB
Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
Gold as represented by UGLD
Energy as represented by ERX
Finance as represented by FAS
Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
SP 500 as represented by SPXL
Technology as represented by TECL
Small Caps as represented by TNA
Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

---- T H E B E A R S ----

The Process

This model creates a short to medium term indicator - generally one to four weeks.

We select several leveraged ETFs that best represent the overall market or industry they represent.

For each ETF the process finds the best 50 or so stocks that correlate to the ETF's price movement. Then it finds the average Momentum indicator value for all 50 over 3, 4 and 5 day periods. We accumulate all possible cross-over values or buy/sell points.

Finally a series of back-tests are run that determine the best choice of each period and buy/sell points that occur over the past year.

These best choices are then used daily to calculate current buy/sell points for each ETF using data from the past 6 months.

What

2014-09-30

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