After seeing the performance of the method that decides when to enter and exit general market positions using the percentage of stock with prices over a 200 day moving average I decided to test other similar aggregating measures, mainly RSI, ROC and Momentum. MOM so far has turned out to be the best of the 3.
What
First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.
2013-09-18
No Changes Since 9/4
The models are still bearish. The system is missing out on a nice rise in prices.
This morning I rebuilt the models and got the same results.
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