What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2014-12-31

Last One for 2014

I am convinced that this strategy does not work.  While some of the models excelled this past quarter others (energy plays ) were horrid (see ERX and UGAZ).
bib 10301.54
erx 5436.96
fas 10682.48
midu 9616.25
spxl 11175.58
tecl  9891.92
tna 9926.49
ugaz 3429.65
ugld 8988.24
urty 10745.73

Model Run


SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-23BUY - 2014-12-26
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduSELL - 2014-12-29BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-12-26BUY - 2014-12-30
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD




2014-12-29

MidCap Model Gets Bearish

Model Run


SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-23BUY - 2014-12-26
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduBUY - 2014-12-24SELL - Today
spxlBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - 2014-12-26
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24

Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




2014-12-26

BioTech Back With Bulls, SP500 In With Bears.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-23BUY - Today
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24
spxlBUY - 2014-12-23SELL - Today
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-22BUY - 2014-12-24

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
Sell Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be buying and selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




2014-12-24

Small Caps, Mid Caps and R2K Back With Bulls.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2014-12-23
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-12-19BUY - 2014-12-23
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaSELL - 2014-12-22BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-22BUY - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD




2014-12-23

BioTech Out, SP500 In

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - Today
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2014-12-22
spxlSELL - 2014-12-19BUY - Today
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2014-12-22
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtyBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - 2014-12-22

Buy Today: SP 500(SPXL)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB)
So in the paper account I will be buying & selling.
Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2014-12-22

MidCaps, Small Caps and R2K Model In With The Bears

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-18
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - Today
spxlBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - 2014-12-19
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtyBUY - 2014-12-18SELL - Today

Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 5   Bears: 5
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2014-12-19

SP500 - Bearish Model

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-18
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
miduSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-18
spxlBUY - 2014-12-17SELL - Today
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
tnaSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-16BUY - 2014-12-18

Sell Today: SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




2014-12-18

Bulls are back.

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - Today
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-16
fasSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - Today
miduSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - 2014-12-17
teclSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - Today
tnaSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-12-16BUY - Today
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - 2014-12-16
urtySELL - 2014-12-16BUY - Today

Buy Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Natural Gas(UGAZ) Finance(FAS) Mid Caps(MIDU) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying.
Score - Bulls: 9   Bears: 1
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Gold as represented by UGLD




2014-12-16

Energy Back With Bulls While Financials, Tech, Small Caps, Gold and R2K Join Bears.

Model Run











SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2014-11-19SELL - 2014-12-12
erxSELL - 2014-12-12BUY - Today
fasBUY - 2014-10-21SELL - Today
miduBUY - 2014-12-10SELL - 2014-12-12
spxlBUY - 2014-12-10SELL - 2014-12-12
teclBUY - 2014-10-21SELL - Today
tnaBUY - 2014-12-12SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
ugldBUY - 2014-10-27SELL - Today
urtyBUY - 2014-12-12SELL - Today

Buy Today: Energy(ERX)
Sell Today: Gold(UGLD) Finance(FAS) Technology(TECL) Small Caps(TNA) & Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying and selling.
Score - Bulls: 2   Bears: 8
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Energy as represented by ERX
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2014-12-12

Small Caps & R2K Bullish Again, While MidCaps, SP500 and BioTech Models Join The Bears

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibBUY - 2014-11-19SELL - Today
erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
miduBUY - 2014-12-10SELL - Today
spxlBUY - 2014-12-10SELL - Today
teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
tnaSELL - 2014-12-10BUY - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
urtySELL - 2014-12-10BUY - Today

Buy Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB) Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be buying. selling.
Score - Bulls: 7   Bears: 3
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




2014-12-10

MidCaps and SP500 Back With Bulls But Small Caps and R2K in Bear Camp.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
miduSELL - 2014-12-08BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-12-08BUY - Today
teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
tnaBUY - 2014-12-03SELL - Today
ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
urtyBUY - 2014-12-03SELL - Today

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL)
Sell Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account I will be buying and selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




2014-12-08

MidCaps and SP500 Out Again.

Model Run
SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
miduBUY - 2014-12-04SELL - Today
spxlBUY - 2014-12-04SELL - Today
teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
tnaSELL - 2014-12-01BUY - 2014-12-03
ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
urtySELL - 2014-12-01BUY - 2014-12-03

Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL)
So in the paper account I will be selling.
Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




2014-12-04

MidCaps and SP500 Back With Bulls = All 10 Models Bullish

Model Run

SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
miduSELL - 2014-12-02 BUY - Today
spxlSELL - 2014-12-02 BUY - Today
teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
tnaSELL - 2014-12-01BUY - 2014-12-03
ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
urtySELL - 2014-12-01BUY - 2014-12-03

Buy Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) SP 500(SPXL)

So in the paper account I will be buying.

Score - Bulls: 10   Bears: 0

----   T H E   B U L L S   ----

  • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
  • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
  • Gold as represented by UGLD
  • Energy as represented by ERX
  • Finance as represented by FAS
  • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
  • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
  • Technology as represented by TECL
  • Small Caps as represented by TNA
  • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY

----   T H E  B E A R S   ----

    2014-12-03

    Small Caps and R2K Models Are Back With Bulls After 2 Days In Bear Camp.

    Model Run
    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
    erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    miduBUY - 2014-11-28SELL - 2014-12-02
    spxlBUY - 2014-11-28SELL - 2014-12-02
    teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    tnaSELL - 2014-12-01BUY - Today
    ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
    ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
    urtySELL - 2014-12-01BUY - Today

    Buy Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell 2000(URTY)
    So in the paper account I will be buying.
    Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL




    2014-12-02

    MidCaps & SP500 Models Join Bears.

    Model Run

    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
    erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    miduBUY - 2014-11-28SELL - Today
    spxlBUY - 2014-11-28SELL - Today
    teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    tnaBUY - 2014-11-24SELL - 2014-12-01
    ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
    ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
    urtyBUY - 2014-11-24SELL - 2014-12-01

     Sell Today: Mid Caps(MIDU) & SP 500(SPXL)
    So in the paper account I will be selling.

    Score - Bulls: 6   Bears: 4
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY




    2014-12-01

    Small Caps and R2K Models Are Bears.

    Model Run

    SymbolPrevious Call & DateCurrent Call & Date
    bibSELL - 2014-11-17BUY - 2014-11-19
    erxSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    fasSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    miduSELL - 2014-11-25BUY - 2014-11-28
    spxlSELL - 2014-11-25BUY - 2014-11-28
    teclSELL - 2014-10-17BUY - 2014-10-21
    tnaBUY - 2014-11-24SELL - Today
    ugazSELL - 2014-10-10BUY - 2014-10-21
    ugldSELL - 2014-03-24**BUY - 2014-10-27
    urtyBUY - 2014-11-24SELL - Today

    Sell Today: Small Caps(TNA) Russell & 2000(URTY)

    So in the paper account I will be selling.

    Score - Bulls: 8   Bears: 2
    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Natural Gas as represented by UGAZ
    • Gold as represented by UGLD
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY