What

First and foremost, this is an unproven method of choosing when to enter and exit a position. Since back-testing is used to produce the models future results may not reflect or produce expected returns.

2013-12-27

EOY - Reset

It appears that the models will not be making any more moves for 2013 so I will rebuild the models for 2014 and restart the paper accounts at $10,000.

Paper Trade Results for 2013

bibnet: 20265.06Buy and Hold: 24572.73
drnnet: 10451.38Buy and Hold: 9490.30
erxnet: 13468.90Buy and Hold: 17026.04
fasnet: 17393.44Buy and Hold: 20718.09
midunet: 15887.96Buy and Hold: 20234.48
retlnet: 13888.81Buy and Hold: 23136.63
spxlnet: 14287.85Buy and Hold: 20050.89
teclnet: 11798.60Buy and Hold: 17048.96
tnanet: 18177.87Buy and Hold: 22500.00
urtynet: 14561.13Buy and Hold: 22657.09


Only one model (DRN's) did better than buy and hold.

2013-12-10

All 10 Leverage ETF Models Are Bearish

Using the 2PM #'s as closing #'s the models all went to the sell side this afternoon.

Sell Today: Biotechnology(BIB), Real Estate(DRN), Energy(ERX), Finance(FAS), Mid Caps(MIDU), Retail(RETL), SP 500(SPXL), Technology(TECL), Small Caps(TNA), and Russell 2000(URTY)
So in the paper account we will be selling.


Score - Bulls: 0   Bears: 10
----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Real Estate as represented by DRN
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • Retail as represented by RETL
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY



    2013-12-03

    All 10 Leverage ETF Models Are Buying

    Using the 1PM #'s as closing #'s the remaining bearish models are now bullish.  Probably due to today's big sell-off;  as mentioned before these models tend to indicate short-term overbought/oversold conditions.


    In the paper account, after 3PM, we will be buying.Buy Today: Real Estate(DRN), Finance(FAS), Mid Caps(MIDU), Retail(RETL), SP 500(SPXL), Technology(TECL), Small Caps(TNA), and  Russell 2000(URTY).  The other two ETFS,  BIB and ERX, were purchased in late November.


    Score - Bulls: 10   Bears: 0

    ----   T H E   B U L L S   ----
    • Biotechnology as represented by BIB
    • Real Estate as represented by DRN
    • Energy as represented by ERX
    • Finance as represented by FAS
    • Mid Caps as represented by MIDU
    • Retail as represented by RETL
    • SP 500 as represented by SPXL
    • Technology as represented by TECL
    • Small Caps as represented by TNA
    • Russell 2000 as represented by URTY
    ----   T H E  B E A R S   ----